I believe quite strongly that a combination of the IPL and the economic (financial) crisis will fundamentally change sport across the globe. I'm probably going to say a few things that are going to be considered a little controversial but it's something I've been intrigued by for quite a while now.
Broadly speaking up until a few years ago the financial power of world sport remained in two major power centres - the US and Europe (Specifically the UK).
Even now the big money in rugby, soccer, motorsport and golf still emanates from these parts... but I don't expect that to last.
Some predictions:
- I expect in five years time that Bangladeshi cricket will have overtaken English cricket in the test and One Day International rankings
- Argentina rugby will be stronger than the European nations within seven years
- In less than a decade I don't believe that the English premiership will be regarded as the leading football league in the world
- Clubs like Manchester United, Barcelona and Chelsea will be competing with clubs from places like South America, the US and Asia in a global league in the not too distant future as opposed to the UEFA tournaments.
- Bit of a wild one but I believe that South Africa will have one competitive football team in this tournament in ten years
- I believe that the premier rugby competition - which will usurp the Super 14 - will be played out of either South Africa or Japan inside the next seven years and will work along the same lines as the IPL cricket system with either a bid or draft offering to pick sides.
- Motorsport will be dominated by Chinese and Indian manufacturers and representatives and the Middle East and mainstream Asia will host most of the glamour races
- Support for international brands such as the Springboks, All Blacks, Proteas, Wallabies etc will decline over the next ten years with cross-border franchises attracting greater support.
Obviously there are a lot of people who don't want to hear about the changing global world order but at the end of the day it is a numbers game - China, India, the rest of Asia and Brazil to some extent are growing rapidly at all levels...
- Look at what China achieved at the last world Olympics
- Look at the support the IPL has attracted - it's HUGE money and prestige that far outweighs what the international cricket boards can afford to pay their players.
- F1 used to be the domain of the European manufacturers... suddenly the likes of Toyota are coming in and the Middle East is pouring money into development of tracks and teams - things are going to look very different in a few years time...
Does it sound like lunatic fringe stuff or do you think there is some merit to it all? Would love your input?
1 comment:
Americans also trying to get into the T20 lark...
http://www.supersport.com/cricket/article.aspx?headline=ICC%20urges%20U.S.%20officials%20to%20fight%20rebel%20league&id=298439
Post a Comment